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Главная / Недвижимость - Новости  / Самые интересные

Курс гривни будут удерживать административными методами

8.09.09  
The non-cash dollar collapsed last week to 8 , 9 UAH. / $ And Cash - 9 , 2-9 , 8
What do you think? say
"Naftogaz" has undermined the interbank market was the beginning of the last week is enough calmly on Monday quoted on the interbank market started with 8, 44-8, 49 UAH. / $ and this despite the fact that on August 28 they sunk to 8, 51 UAH. / $. According to financiers, came with NBU sales dollar, and the beginning of trading on Tuesday rate corrected to 8, 47 UAH. / $: According to unofficial information, the regulator satisfy 20-40% of the requests of banks to buy foreign currency. Immediately rumors that the NBU will sell their gold reserves over the throughout the week, but believed them very long. Finally, it became clear it's a duck, by the evening of Wednesday, when the central bank has not started to sell dollar on demand charges. He only held the auction of the American currency for borrowers to meet all requests for a total $ 44, 01 million of 8, 01 UAH. / $. At the same time on the interbank market is rapidly began to increase demand for the dollar. According to the financiers, it provoked the first major purchases "Naftogaz" and then the bankers. "A number of system financial institutions, has recently acted as sellers of foreign currency out with applications to buy it "- said" DS "deputy head of treasury Management FUIB Anton Stadnik. Procurement NAC officially confirmed only On Friday, after reports of OAO "Gazprom" on receipt of the Ukrainian company $ 667 million for the gas consumed by our country in August. "Every month, Two days before it comes time to pay with "Gazprom" and "Naftogaz" has to purchase very large amounts of foreign exchange reserves, increased rate. And that's earned by speculators, who, unfortunately, are not limited National Bank ", - said the situation first deputy prime minister Alexander Turchinov. As usual, the Office of Vladimir Stelmakh strongly deny any accusations of complicity with the speculators. "Indeed, we decided not to sell directly Nacu SLE from its reserves, because hoped that he would be able to buy the dollar on the open market. We must not forget that, in accordance with our obligations to the IMF, we have the right to monthly reduce its foreign exchange reserves not more than $ 700 million a common need "Naftogaz" this month is $ 1 1 billion, in addition, the Cabinet soon will need to pay for its Eurobond about 700 million Swiss francs. That is, the National Bank is simply unable to meet demand public sector within the established limit, not to lend the whole SLE Interbank ", - told the" DS "in the NBU. Source "DS" in the Central Bank also reported that the regulator intends to fall to rely on administrative restrictions, which, according to officials, will not prevent further deep devaluation of the hryvnia. They will be sent to stimulate growth sales dollar, which declined markedly in the last Wednesday-Friday. "News large companies with foreign capital of intention to make another dividends rocked the interbank market last week: the market participants began to fear that this will result in an increase in demand for foreign currency (for foreign Shareholders will want to translate into hard currency received hryvnia and to bring abroad. - "DS") and its growth rate. And so far major exporters restricted the sale of hard currency ", - explained the" DS "block capital markets analyst at Alfa Bank (Ukraine) Alexander Vedeneyev. On the money changers "will click 'Rate on administrative measures was confirmed, as soon as it became known on the appointment of to the National Bank Anatoliy Baluk, from June 2004 to July 2009, headed State Commission on Securities and Stock Market. Although the entire his "experience exchange" was reduced to six years of work in the Ministry of Economy (1992 to 1998.) and a focus on these issues in the Cabinet, September 1, he took over as executive director of National Bank on currency regulation and control. On Tuesday, Anatoly Ivanovich reports directly to the First Deputy Chairman of Central Bank Anatoliy Shapovalov and oversees the departments currency regulation and licensing and control. "Following the appointment of Anatoly Baluk logical to talk about possible further innovation regulator of the foreign exchange market "- commented," DS "director appointment Treasury JSC "Erste Bank" Roman Cooper. New regulations of the NBU rules of the currency market, according to experts, there may be within one to two weeks. "Until that time, the interbank market will adjust directly from the NBU. How will this happen, we saw 4 September: on the background reduce the supply of dollars clearing rate before lunch jumped to 8, 9 UAH. / $, but in the evening, after several calls from the National Bank, the largest financial institution came from the sale of its hard currency reserves, and bidding closed at 8, 8725-8, 895 UAH. / $. It seems that officials are ready to repeat the scenario of the summer and autumn of 1998, When Viktor Yushchenko, who at that time, the NBU, in person to ring leaders Banks and threats sought from them selling the currency ", - said in a conversation with "DS" head of treasury of one of the capital's financial institutions. Most of the respondents "DS" experts believe that this week, clearing rate will not exceed 9 UAH. / $. "If the National Bank will decide on a regular output on the interbank market, the rate will revert to 8, 45-8, 55 UAH. / $. Otherwise, the market may be close to the mark of 8, 8-8, 95 UAH ./$», - said "DS" director Treasury OJSC CB "Khreschatyk" Alexey Kozyrev. "I think this week we overcome the psychological barrier of 9 USD. / $, at least if the market does nothing extraordinary. We anticipate that in the next days of non-cash value of the hryvnia to fluctuate in the range of 8, 5-8, 8 USD ./$», - Added to Anton Stadnik. Grace dollar will no longer be Subject to fluctuations of quotations on the interbank market in the 8, 45-8, 8 USD. / $ Experts predict this week's cash rate to 8, 55-9 grn. / $. Analysts sure that financial institutions no longer dare to stand in exchange value dollar at 9, 2-9, 8 USD. / $, as it was last Friday. "Rather, they expose low quotations and virtually stop selling the currency, as made 3 and 4 September: although they had SLE, but not sold off their holdings, implementing through cash only what they sold customers. Such a behavior There were two reasons: some financiers did not want to miscalculate and try to hold buck to sell it more expensive, while others were afraid of sanctions for the regulator implementation of the dollar is not on the average rate of National Bank, calculated by every day, and he appeared only in the evening. However, last Friday financiers from the NBU got a scolding for such behavior, and gradually lower sales rates to 8, 9-9, 1 grn. / $. But the population was ready to buy dollar at any rate "- said the" DS "vice-president of one of the financial institutions. Starting from September 7, Office of Vladimir Stelmakh granted itself another opportunity to press charges and will soon be able to quickly to influence them in the cash market. Last week approved a resolution which the central bank ordered financial institutions having a permit for non-commercial operations (this includes the purchase and sale, and SLE), a separate permission to conduct operations with foreign currency and checks. Financiers confident that obtain such securities will be only the banks that will sell for hard currency acceptable to the NBU. In addition, respondents "DS", experts believe that the National Bank will no longer sell dollars specifically for the cash market, as it did two weeks ago - 25 and August 27. So that the Ukrainians will have to forget about buying the U.S. currency at a favorable rate at 8 ths. in one hand and selling it at commercial financial institution rates.

 

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