The turnover volume of retail trade and restaurant business Ukraine continues to decline.
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According to Goskomstat, in February this year it fell by 2, 2%. According to State Statistics Committee, in February 2009, retail Turnover fell by 2, 2% from the previous month and amounted to 16, 6 billion UAH. In this department notes that in comparison with February 2008 retail sales last month fell to 14, 1%. According to statistical data, the turnover of retail trade enterprises two months of this year decreased by 10, 7% compared with January-February 2008 and by 33, 05 bln. Note that the previous five years, the rate growth of retail trade accounted for about 30% a year, and in 2008 this fell to 17, 9%. For example, last year, retail sales amounted to 243, 9 billion UAH., An increase of 68 per year, 8 bln. What actually means lower sales level, taking into account inflation. The experts note that in the short term, further reduction in income and deteriorating financial condition of businesses will create difficulties for Ukrainian retail. Already there is a decrease the attractiveness of domestic retail trade to foreign investment. Thus, in the corresponding international ranking consulting company A. T. Kearney in 2007, Ukraine took fifth place, while in 2008, went to the 17th. High debt load on the major retail companies leads to the fact that many of them faced with significant challenges in the payment of already manufactured products contractors and to maintain previously established debt. Head Analytical Department of the consulting agency "AAA" Maria Kolesnik says that predict the extent to which trade growth can be reduced in retail is almost impossible. According to her, things will start getting no earlier than April. She believes that if the economic situation in the country will stabilize and the banking system - to recover. "Unless, of course, to level the political figures, and take into account only economic. Retailers are very attached to the consumers, so and to the suppliers, and will not recover until the banking system, talk about growth is not necessary. Because of the price increase figures likely will not fall in terms of money, but they will - in kind, "- said Mrs. Kolesnik. As the "i" CEO "Restaurant Consulting" Olga Nasonov, falling retail sales in the restaurant segment will continue until mid 2010, she predicted, this year the trade turnover restaurants do not grow at 20%, as in the past, and by 8-10%. In mid-2010 , the mentioned rate to fall to 5-7%, but in the winter, according to expert, he begins to level off and reach the level of 15-17%. "Restaurant market growth will resume as soon as the economic situation will to stabilize, because now he is very weak saturated ", - says Olga Nasonova. According to Goskomstat, the maximum reduction in retail turnover in January-February, fixed in Transcarpathia (19, 3%), Zaporozhye (17, 3%), Dnipropetrovsk (15, 7%) oblasts, Crimea (15, 3%) and in Kharkiv region (15%). Leaders in absolute terms of retail turnover two months were Kiev (6, 73 bln.), Donetsk (3, 09 bln.) Dnipropetrovsk (2, 89 bln.) And Kharkiv (2, 38 bln.) Area.
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