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21.07.09  
Where profitable to invest capital investment in Ukraine in terms of financial Crisis?
What do you think? say
To answer this question, more than 30 experts in the field of investment participated in the preparation of the rating of investment attractiveness of industries. The results obtained suggest a significant shift of priorities investment policy, compared even to last year. Top in times of crisis the undisputed leader among investment- markets of the Ukrainian economy interviewed experts recognized pharmaceutical sector. He received the highest rating of experts - 69, 4 points out of 100. With a margin of 5 points ahead of nearest rival pharmaceuticals - zernotorgovlyu. Overall rating of "above average" (50 points) received 17 industries, including which are: metallurgy, telecommunications, oil and fat and meat processing industry and others. "Extraction and processing of oil and gas, coal industry, meat and dairy industry, all produced in the country, may be profitable for a small, competent support of the state's businesses - Said a senior manager of international audit and consulting company "Deloitte" Alexander Kohut. - Notwithstanding the requirements of the WTO, all countries now do it (give state support to national business.) undercover crisis ". Interesting for investors and experts have called production competitiveness in global markets products (eg products the steel industry or chemical industry). "That's why we believe that there is great prospects for agriculture and has very small - engineering "- added the Director of Business Development financial-industrial group "SCM" Ilya Arkhipov. Confidence in the investment field can not feel and energy. In particular, the manufacturing sector electricity. "Looking ahead the suspension of economic decline, stabilization, if not increase the dynamics of electricity demand, - Predicts the head of analytical department of the investment group "Socrates" Konstantin Stepanov. - In addition, Power generation exhausted the road carbon accumulated by the fall of 2008, and already uses cheapened, which should positively affect the gross margins of companies in the second half Of 2009. " Investors prefer a ready According to experts, the crisis of new entrants in the most attractive sectors should be expected. Among the reasons, besides lack of funds, they indicate the high competition in key markets (eg, alcohol and confectionery industries). Inflows are likely to be expected in the form of buying an existing business (in whole or in part). "In general, now is not the time to create and buy time ", - says Director of Business Development financial-industrial group "SCM" Ilya Arkhipov. According to him, today is an attractive business with low cost, but able to generate stable cash flow - to ensure proper liquidity. "Also, attractive for investment is a business, product or service which are produced and consumed in Ukraine, that is, in industries where markets are globalized, such communication "- the representative of" SCM ". Outsiders are least interested investors are automotive, which took the last line of the weighted average rating of the experts 24, 2 points. Not far from the auto industry has left the sector of motor vehicles (Imports and distribution), earning half a point more. According to the head analytical department of the investment group, "Socrates" Konstantin Stepanov skepticism of experts is justified: the cumulative reduction in car production in 2009 may reach 75% over the previous year. To outsiders Experts attributed the recent and leaders in investment - the construction of and construction materials. Not much better situation in the field of insurance and banking. Expert opinion confirms the official statistics. According to Goskomstat, for I quarter of this year, most fell investment in construction (56%) and manufacturing (41%). Investing in financial activities declined by 36% with I quarter of last year. At the same time, experts are in no hurry to give up to invest in these areas. "Confidence in banks and insurance companies severely curtailed, but at the same time, those who had stroke and paid, can expect for a lucrative job in the near future - sure, senior manager of international auditing and consulting company "Deloitte" Alexander Kohut, - as customers reoriented with weak players on the strong and stable. " When Thaw begins optimistic about the prospects for a number of "fallen" Head of sector analysts of the investment company Astrum Investment Management Yuri Belinsky. He cites the example of the pipe industry, where production of pipes of iron or steel in January-June 2009 declined 43, 4%. "With the increasing oil prices are expected to gain investment active oil and gas companies and, accordingly, demand for tubular products in the second half of 2009 "- says the analyst. At the same time, according to vice-president of International Investment Company SigmaBleyzer Sergei Bulavin, the "right" time to invest will come August-October. "Owners of many businesses still do not understand the size of the problem associated with the crisis, and are not ready to let investors on terms that correspond to the present day - says Bulavin. - And six months later, many of them will be willing to listen to the requirements of investors, so as not to lose your business. " The expert notes that the investment for a period of years one and a half years, no prospects. Investments will have the effect of five to eight years.

 

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